Maybe Oxendine was hunting for water
The John Oxendine shooting accident had nothing to do with this man.
Aha! Now I’ve figured it out. That “not a Dick Cheney” hunting accident involving John Oxendine, his sons and some guy straight out of an episode of Petticoat Junction wasn’t an accident after all.
It was a reconnaissance mission on behalf of the thirsty people of Georgia.
Think about it: Yesterday, Oxendine announced that, if elected governor, he’ll take up with the U.S. Supreme Court a Georgia request that Tennessee let us pipe water from the Tennessee River to metro Atlanta.
Could it be mere coincidence that someone in Oxendine’s hunting party peppered a northwest Georgia man with buckshot just one week earlier?
Hear me out: The incident occurred on Walker County property owned by a man whom the current insurance commissioner is supposed to be regulating Read more
Oxendine channels William Tecumseh Sherman
Georgia Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine
Gubernatorial candidate John Oxendine appears to have attended the William Tecumseh Sherman school of urban renewal, and the Sarah Palin school of governance.
First, let’s talk about Palin’s teachings: Rally your supporters, not by advocating an idea that actually solves a problem, but by pushing one that upsets the people your supporters don’t like (the people your supporters don’t like will never vote for you anyway). The loonier the idea the better, because really crazy ideas are likely to upset the people you’re trying to upset even more. And the more you upset those people, the happier your fans will be.
Tah-dah! You’re a social warrior! And a social warrior just might win the Republican primary.
But Oxendine’s taken in even more compelling lessons from Gen. Sherman Read more
Will campaign donor scandal help Oxendine?
A BIT GEEKY, EH? One of the flattering photos of Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine that are plastered all over the state Department of Insurance website.
Georgia Republicans may be riding higher right now than Republicans are elsewhere. But that doesn’t mean the state party isn’t suffering from the same dysfunction that’s led the national GOP to nosedive.
It’s just that Georgia’s voters seem content to allow Republicans to get away with partisan excesses, fuzzy math and their inability to govern effectively — so long as they manage to sound more conservative and paranoid than the next guy.
Which brings us to the AJC’s revelations about John Oxendine’s campaign finance mess (is “scandal” too harsh a word?). The longtime insurance commissioner, now a leading 2010 Republican candidate for governor, has a reputation for raising big money from executives at the companies he regulates.
Last Sunday, AJC reporter Cameron McWhirter broke the story of 10 loosely connected political action committees — tied to a Rome, Ga., insurance baron — that funneled $120,000 last year to Oxendine’s 2010 gubernatorial campaign. The donations appear to be illegal.
In the article, Oxendine pooh-poohed the revelations. And, taking the tact that a lot of Southern politicians have used when caught doing something wrong, his campaign sent out a hilarious e-mail blaming the article on “the left-wing, anti-conservative, anti-American bias of the AJC”:
What they have really done is confirm to conservatives which Republican candidate they are afraid of — which Republican candidate they do not want to win. This is a time honored tradition at the AJC. Attack and smear any real conservative who might actually win. Attack, attack, attack. Talk about anything but the issues.
At Team Oxendine, we wear this hit piece as a badge of honor. Georgia Republicans know perfectly well a candidate is not a serious front-runner until they have been attacked and smeared by the AJC. That day has come and the AJC has sent a message loud and clear — John Oxendine is a conservative the liberals cannot tolerate. We are proud to know the “fair and balanced” crowd at the AJC is not for John Oxendine.
(Kudos to Travis Fain’s Lucid Idiocy blog for publishing the full memo.)
That Monday, the campaign still was calling the article a “hit piece.” But, faced with an ethics investigation, it did announce it would give the money back.
I suppose it’s pretty basic to observe that Oxendine is trying to use the story to engage the Republican base in his victimhood, and that he’s hoping to tap into the anti-media paranoia that’s such a strong motivator for Southern conservatives. That would be nothing new, of course. In the early 20th century, governors Tom Watson and Eugene Talmadge ran against the “liberal” Atlanta newspapers to become the most powerful Georgia politicians of their day. South Carolina’s Strom Thurmond and Alabama’s George Wallace rode similar routes to national prominence in losing presidential campaigns. Read more
Governor’s race taking shape
From Tom Baxter and GONSO:
Maybe it says something about how next year’s governor’s race is shaping up that the early jostling has involved two back surgeries.
The more widely publicized of these was performed, reportedly with good results, this week on Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle. He had been viewed as a top contender in the race for the Republican nomination until he announced at a tearful press conference earlier this month that a back problem had convinced him to abandon the governor’s race and run for his current job.
There was so much skepticism about the real reason for Cagle’s departure that he showed his X-rays and MRIs to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution’s Jim Galloway as proof he genuinely is in too much pain to take on such a big race. No doubt pain did have a great deal to do with Cagle’s surprise decision, but the timing – a week after the end of the session, long enough to get on the phone and test the climate for political fundraising – suggests money might have had a little to do with it also.
Since Cagle’s departure, the Republican dominos have fallen in a striking pattern. Three potential contenders from the Atlanta metro area – U.S. Rep. Lynn Westmoreland, Cobb County Commission Chairman Sam Olens, and state House Speaker Pro Tem Mark Burkhalter – have decided they’re not getting in the governor’s race.
Again, there must be a lot of reasons why they all opted not to get in this race. But a casual glance at the business pages suggests one overriding factor: any campaign that might have counted on Atlanta development money is finding out there’s a lot less of it available in this election cycle. (Not to mention that there are four Republicans already dialing for dollars: Secretary of State Karen Handel, Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine, state Rep. Austin Scott of Tifton and states rights advocate Ray McBerry.)
Meanwhile, two candidates from outside metro Atlanta who weren’t on the radar for this race have jumped in it. Senate President Eric Johnson of Savannah switched from the lieutenant governor’s race, thus avoiding the returning Cagle and upping the ante on his own ambitions. U.S. Rep. Nathan Deal, who wasn’t even on the short list of Republican congressmen interested in the race, has also been letting colleagues know he intends to announce soon.
Both add some intriguing dimensions to the race. Johnson has the potential to benefit from the GOP’s growth in eastern Georgia, and he’s already put together an organization. As an up-and-coming legislator and during his first couple of years in Congress, Deal enjoyed a best-and-brightest image in the Democratic Party that reminded some of Roy Barnes. Since his party switch in 1995, Deal has swung more to the right on issues like immigration, and he never really assumed the leadership position in his adopted party which some had envisioned for him as a Democrat. But it will be interesting to see what cross-party appeal he might have next year.
Speaking of Barnes, the other back surgery was the one performed on him back before Christmas of last year. He told a former staffer the week after that operation that he was about 50-50 on getting in the race. If he was 50-50 after going through something like that, Barnes might seem likely to make his fourth bid for governor. But sources who’ve talked with him in recently haven’t seen any signs that he’s committed.
Until he makes his intentions known, which should be some time in May, the Democratic field consists of three people with whom the former governor has important connections: David Poythress, whom Barnes appointed state adjutant general, Attorney General Thurbert Baker, with whom Barnes carefully coordinated his 1998 and 2002 races, and House Minority Leader Dubose Porter, who was a floor leader for Barnes when he was governor. Whether Barnes is in this race or not, he’s going to have a lot to do with how it’s run.
Tom Baxter is editor of the Southern Political Report and senior vice president of its parent company, InsiderAdvantage, a media and polling firm. He was the chief political correspondent at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution for 20 years. [full bio]
Johnson now in guv’s race
With Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle out, longtime state Sen. Eric Johnson jumped this morning into the 2010 governor’s race.
State Sen. Eric Johnson, R-Savannah
Johnson has an all-over-the-place reputation as one of the Republican leaders in the Senate. Sometimes, the Savannah architect sounds — even acts — like a smart guy with a good sense of humor. But he also can get a bit prickly and has a penchant for saying the stupidest things.
Overall, conservatives are likely to be pleased Johnson has thrust himself into the race. Many are a bit mistrustful of the three leading Republicans already in the contest (Karen Handel, John Oxendine, and Austin Scott), because each has strayed from ultra-conservative orthodoxy at one time or another.
Johnson was going to run for lieutenant governor in 2010. That changed when Cagle dropped out of the race last week because of health problems. Cagle certainly gave him a push by announcing that he’d instead make the less demanding run for re-election as lieutenant governor.
Johnson has lined up a lot of GOP establishment support. Among the folks working on his campaign: rich guy Jamie Reynolds as finance chairman, former Perdue press aide Derrick Dickey, former state party staffer Ben Fry, and Randy Evans, who was the state party’s expert at disenfranchising minority voters, as legal counsel.
Democratic candidates Thurbert Baker, DuBose Porter and Randy Poythress are still a bit frozen in lining up support, because many Democrats are waiting to see if former Gov. Roy Barnes will run.
From Johnson’s press release come the blah-blah things that politicians always say:
“As I traveled the state campaigning and visiting with Georgians from all walks of life, I was thrilled to see the support and encouragement we received in every corner of this state,” said Johnson. “Georgians recognize that we need a steady, tested, and experienced leader to address the challenges we face as a state and to build on the progress we’ve made under Republican leadership. My vision for our future focuses on how we can create new 21st Century jobs, reform education to improve student achievement, and ensure effective and ethical government. Effective leadership is about trust. I hope to earn the trust of the Georgians and the opportunity to serve as their Governor.”
Hmmm … “to build on all the progress we’ve made under Republican leadership?” Like I say, the guy does have a good sense of humor.
Barnes may decide soon
Roy Barnes will determine within a month whether to take a stab at returning to the Governor’s Mansion in 2010, the founder of a group formed to encourage Barnes to run told members today.
“I have confirmation that Governor Barnes knows about our group and is going to make his decision in the next 3-4 weeks,” Michael Kozol of the Facebook group “Roy Barnes for Governor (Georgia 2010)” said in a message to members.
After Barnes’ 2002 upset at the hands Sonny Perdue, the Cobb County attorney swore off politics. In recent months, however, he’s been making speeches to small groups around the state, criticizing the Republican-led state government for its failure to address transportation and education problems — two issues Barnes had attempted to address during his one term as governor.
A March 29 AJC article that reported Barnes was thinking about running prompted the formation of two Facebook groups aimed at recruiting him — Kozol’s, which already has 588 members, and “Run ROY Run (Roy Barnes for Governor),” which has 349 members.
Three well-known Democrats already are running. State Attorney General Thurbert Baker and state House Minority Leader DuBose Porter dropped their hats in the ring earlier this month, joining longtime politician David Poythress, who’s been running since last year. But Barnes’ name recognition, his charisma and the chance that his victory would give Democrats a sense of sweet vindication would make him a heavy favorite to win the nomination.
An Insider Advantage poll last month indicated he’d be a formidable opponent to any of the three most well-known Republicans who plan to run in 2010. Polls this early in the race usually have more to do with name recognition than anything else. For what it’s worth though, the former governor was neck-and-neck with Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle (35-39), ahead of Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine (38-33) and ahead of Secretary of State Karen Handel (34-29).
Perdue is barred by the Georgia Constitution from running for a third term.
Porter declares, Poythress attacks
Fellow Democrat David Poythress responded far more sharply to DuBose Porter’s entry today into the 2010 governor’s race than he did to last week’s announcement by Thurbert Baker. In other words, Poythress considers Porter more of a threat to his own candidacy.
The discrepancy may partly be due to the surprise announcement by Baker, the centrist attorney general for whom political risk truly is a four-letter word. Porter, the state House minority leader, had tipped his hat before throwing it into the ring.
It also makes sense for Poythress (and for that matter Porter) to keep the powder dry against Baker because white candidates don’t want to turn off black voters by attacking the only African-American in the primary. Contrast that to the dynamic between Poythress and Porter, an attorney and newspaper publisher from Dublin with a folksy way about him who will compete for Poythress’ logical base of white, rural, moderate Democrats.
So there’s a certain logic to Poythress going over the top by accusing Porter of “an unforgivable offense” for failing to recruit enough state House candidates last year. Just five days earlier, Poythress uttered nary a nasty word about Baker’s hardy defense of the state voter ID law, which Republicans enacted to make it more difficult for Democratic constituencies to get to the polls.
In his announcement, Porter focused on an issue that may prove a point of for Republican vulnerability: The utter failure of the GOP to deal with metro Atlanta’s transportation problems. The money line: “This year’s lack of leadership on transportation and personal grabs for power at the expense of the people convinced me to throw my hat into the ring.” (Never mind that Porter had already told people he’d intended to run before this year’s legislative session even began.)
Baker won’t make it out of the primary without taking his own hits from Democratic constituencies. He’s vulnerable among his base of black voters for appealing a ruling that would have hastened the freedom of teenage cause celebre Genarlow Wilson, as well as for his support of a bunch of tough cirminal sentencing measures. But don’t expect open attacks on Baker from his opponents: White candidates want to be in a position to snatch up black votes rather than to dirty their hands in the process of prying the votes from Baker.
The dynamic for the Democratic primary changes entirely, of course, if former Gov. Roy Barnes decides to enter the race — as he’s supposedly considering. For now, however, Baker and Porter seem the guys to beat: Baker’s already won three statewide races as attorney general and, despite his record, should get the lion’s share African-American support. Porter’s network among state legislators, lawyers and newspaper people should make him pretty formidable.
Poythress — who’s served off-and-on in various state offices for three decades —seems the odd man out to me, but then again I’ve never quite gotten his candidacy. He’s been running since the Ice Age (well, actually, early last year), and during that time he’s patiently spoken to small groups across the state. But doesn’t he seem a bit too yesterday to lead a Democratic Party revival in 2010? For instance, three of the endorsers listed on his website have the word “former” in front of their titles.
On the Republican side, Lieutenant Gov. Casey Cagle, Secretary of State Karen Handel, Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine and state Rep. Austin Scott are already running, while Cobb County Commission Chairman Sam Olens is thinking about it.
Here’s more of Poythress’ attack on Porter:
In his statement Dubose Porter said, ‘ … we must look past the primary and honestly ask who can win a general election.’
It’s ironic he led with this thought when Dubose Porter, as House Minority Leader, is the Democrat who seconded the nomination of Republican Glenn Richardson to become Speaker of the House. He also left 81 House Republicans uncontested in the 2008 elections by not recruiting Democratic challengers. This is an unforgivable offense given the tremendous turnout and historic year for Democrats. And Dubose should tread lightly when talking about his alleged General Election viability especially since Republicans would have a field day over his 26 year voting record in the General Assembly.
And here’s Porter’s full announcement:
After this year’s failure to pass a transportation funding bill by the Republican leadership it has become apparent that if Georgia is to move forward there will have to be a new vision coming from the Governor’s office. Smaller government is good, but not when its goal is to dismantle transportation, law enforcement, and education. These are vital services that must be maintained if Georgia is to move forward with America.
The Governor and his leadership team have used this economic downturn as an excuse to dismantle these fundamental programs; programs on which our entire economy rests. This session we sponsored HB 356 which offered up a way to find an expected $1 billion in uncollected revenue without raising taxes a dime. HB 356 would have implemented a new point of sales policy exactly like Alabama. This Governor and his leadership in the House and Senate chose to turn this money down because it would have funded a lot of the programs they chose to cut. Programs our citizens needed.
The Governor and this leadership were cutting the funding to the QBE funding formula, which goes to our schools, and law enforcement when we had money and now they have added transportation to their list. “This year’s lack of leadership on transportation and their personal grabs for power at the expense of the people convinced me to throw my hat into the ring.”
It is obvious that reduced law enforcement is not a way to grow quality of life, and access to a quality basic education is vital to positive growth. In the immediate future we see job opportunity through services and technology. Our people will have to be able to meet the requirements for these jobs. They also will not be keeping the same job for life, but will have to be able to retrain quickly. Without adequate educational opportunity that will not be possible.
Transportation is another foundation service for government and is a key to a prosperous future. We don’t need to cut MARTA rail to the airport. We need to extend it. The message cutting MARTA, when the money is there, sends potentially damaging signals to future investors in Georgia. We have to start thinking of the future.
My youngest sons, the twins, are now freshmen at UGA and it seems as if this session’s lack of leadership has coincided correctly with my timing for running for state wide office.
I realize a Democrat will have a hard time in what is seen as a red state. However I believe Georgia will look at the issues and if they find a candidate that represents their core values they will be willing to vote for a change in the Governor’s office. My work on the issues will carry me in Atlanta, but according to the pundits from the far right to the far left, it will take a candidate with my core values to connect with those outside of Atlanta.
My district, Laurens and a small part of Johnson County, closely resembles the demographics of the state as a whole. In my last race I won by 76% over a Republican candidate who was a 10-year city council member and a vice president of a bank. I was able to do that because I listen to my people. My t-shirts always read, “DuBose Porter works for me,” because I never forget who sent me. The title is ‘Representative.’ I represent. I listen well. I bring all the people to the table. I learn as much as I can on the topic from all sides and then lead. I remember my Scout Oath. I bring in my faith. I think of the Georgia I want my four sons to live in and I remember our state motto of wisdom, justice and moderation. Listen. Learn. Lead. You aren’t constantly in the press with that style, but it works best to move projects forward if you can lose the ego and share the credit.
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